What Went Wrong with Capitalism

In 1980, the average publicly listed company in the United States had been around for about 60 years. By 2020, that number had plummeted to just 20 years. This is a symptom of a deeper stagnation. Over the same period, the share of zombie firms—companies that don't earn enough to even cover their interest payments, yet stay afloat on cheap debt—tripled to nearly 20% of all listed firms. Simultaneously, a different kind of longevity took hold. Between 1980 and the late 2010s, the number of billionaires on the Forbes 400 list who were still there a decade later doubled, from 30% to over 60%. Companies are becoming more fragile while the ultra-wealthy are becoming more entrenched.

This puzzling divergence between corporate churn and permanent wealth is what captivated Ruchir Sharma. As a long-time investor and head of emerging markets at a major financial firm, he had a front-row seat to global economic shifts. He saw firsthand how the cycle of creative destruction—the engine of healthy capitalism—seemed to be sputtering out. Instead of a dynamic system that rewarded new ideas and cleared away failures, he witnessed a global landscape propped up by government intervention and central bank policies that favored incumbents and protected the rich. This book emerged from his twenty-five-year journey tracking these trends on the ground, analyzing the data that showed how a system designed for dynamism was slowly grinding to a halt.

Module 1: The Myth of Small Government

A popular story says that since the 1980s, governments have retreated. The era of Reagan and Thatcher supposedly ushered in an age of small government and free-market purity. Sharma argues this is a complete myth. In reality, the state never shrank. It just changed its shape.

This leads to the first major insight. Government has expanded relentlessly, not retreated, across all its major functions. The welfare state, the regulatory state, and the national security state have all grown steadily. In the United States, welfare spending as a share of the economy is higher now than it was in 1980. The U.S. Code of Federal Regulations has ballooned to over 180,000 pages. And after 9/11, the security apparatus expanded dramatically. The idea of a "neoliberal" rollback of the state is a fiction. Government simply found new ways to grow.

So, how did it fund this expansion? This brings us to a critical pivot in economic history. Governments shifted from funding expansion through taxes to funding it through debt. Before the 1970s, running a large, persistent deficit was rare in peacetime. But then, President Nixon severed the U.S. dollar's link to gold. This removed a key constraint on government borrowing. Deficit spending became the new normal. Public debt in large capitalist economies surged from 21% of GDP in 1970 to nearly 120% by 2020. It was the path of least political resistance.

And here's the thing. This explosion of debt was enabled by another powerful force. Central banks initiated an era of "easy money," making debt artificially cheap and encouraging risk. It started with Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan. After the 1987 stock market crash, he signaled the Fed would always step in to save markets. This promise, known as the "Greenspan Put," created a massive safety net for investors. Interest rates were pushed lower and lower with each crisis. This easy money fueled speculative bubbles, from the dot-com boom to the 2008 housing crisis. It fundamentally changed the price of risk.

The result was a dangerous new system. A system where the state grew larger, deficits became permanent, and cheap money flowed like water. It was something else entirely.