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Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms

How to Assess True Macroeconomic Risk

14 minPhilipp Carlsson-Szlezak, Paul Swartz

What's it about

Are you constantly worried about the next market crash or economic crisis? This book summary teaches you how to cut through the noise. Learn to distinguish real threats from media hype and make smarter decisions for your financial future, even when uncertainty feels overwhelming. Instead of panicking, you'll gain a powerful framework for assessing risk. Discover the historical patterns of economic shocks, the key indicators to watch, and how to tell a genuine crisis from a false alarm. This guide equips you with the tools to navigate volatility with confidence.

Meet the author

Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak is a managing director and the chief economist of Boston Consulting Group, where he advises the world’s top CEOs on navigating economic uncertainty. Paul Swartz is a director and senior economist at the BCG Henderson Institute. For over a decade at the world’s leading investment and advisory firms, they developed a unique framework for stress-testing history to separate genuine economic threats from the market’s many false alarms, a method now shared in their book.

Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms book cover

What's it about

Are you constantly worried about the next market crash or economic crisis? This book summary teaches you how to cut through the noise. Learn to distinguish real threats from media hype and make smarter decisions for your financial future, even when uncertainty feels overwhelming. Instead of panicking, you'll gain a powerful framework for assessing risk. Discover the historical patterns of economic shocks, the key indicators to watch, and how to tell a genuine crisis from a false alarm. This guide equips you with the tools to navigate volatility with confidence.

Meet the author

Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak is a managing director and the chief economist of Boston Consulting Group, where he advises the world’s top CEOs on navigating economic uncertainty. Paul Swartz is a director and senior economist at the BCG Henderson Institute. For over a decade at the world’s leading investment and advisory firms, they developed a unique framework for stress-testing history to separate genuine economic threats from the market’s many false alarms, a method now shared in their book.