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Fooled by Randomness

The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets

11 minNassim Nicholas Taleb

What's it about

Ever wonder why a less-skilled colleague got that promotion, or why your sure-fire investment tanked? This book summary reveals the powerful, invisible force of randomness shaping your career and finances, and teaches you how to stop being fooled by it. You'll learn to distinguish between genuine skill and pure luck, making you a sharper decision-maker. Discover Taleb's practical mental models to navigate uncertainty, avoid common cognitive biases, and finally see the world with the clear-eyed perspective of a professional risk-taker.

Meet the author

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a Lebanese-American essayist, mathematical statistician, and former options trader who spent two decades as a quantitative analyst dealing with risk and uncertainty. This real-world experience in the trenches of financial markets, combined with his deep scholarly interests in probability and philosophy, gave him a unique vantage point. He witnessed firsthand how experts were consistently fooled by randomness, which inspired him to write this seminal work on the hidden influence of chance in our lives.

Fooled by Randomness book cover